Warning Time

The gap between a system knowing and a system telling.

The Warning Latency Archive

A public, versioned dataset. One row per incident: when the hazard began, when instrumentation registered it, when a human confirmed it, when a message left the building, and the signed lead time at each affected location — with the provenance of every field.

Nothing like it exists. It is the reason the answer to "who are you to tell me this" stops being a defence and becomes a fact.

field what it holds
incident name, date, country, system class
t_onset when the hazard condition began
t_detect when instrumentation registered it
t_confirm when a human confirmed it
t_disseminate when a message left the building
lead_time[] per affected location, signed
instrument_state what the sensors were doing at failure
failure_mode missed detection · false positive · delivery · comprehension
provenance source and retrieval date for every field above

The incidents so far — rendered from archive/warning-latency.csv,

incident date t_onset → t_disseminate lead times failure
Bhote Koshi flash flood, Rasuwa 2026-08-26 08:37 → 09:16 Syabrubesi: -26 to -16; Betrawati: 4 to 14 missed
False ballistic-missile alert, statewide 2018-01-13 08:07 → 08:45 n/a: n/a; — false-positive

2 incident(s) published. Download the dataset (CC BY 4.0): CSV · JSON · changelog. Corrections are versioned and dated.